There were three last season. O/U wins: 91.5. ZiPS projects the White Sox for 74 wins, closer to the Tigers (71) and Royals (70) than the Guardians (83) and Twins (80). Bookmark this page for in-season updates to our MLB predictions. USA TODAY. Even worse, Lance Lynn is now sidelined until June. The reason the model likes the Cardinals over Milwaukee comes from the lack of trust in the Brewers' lineup, but if Willy Adames can repeat and Christian Yelich can bounce back somewhere closer to his 2019 levels, it could have just enough to support Milwaukee's tremendous pitching staff. Wander Franco, Shane Baz and Shane McClanahan are expected to take up major roles on the team in their second seasons with the club, and Randy Arozarena and Brandon Lowe will again be dangerous at the plate. A starting rotation with two Cy Young candidates (Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff), an All-Star No. The AL East is the best division in baseball, and it doesn't take a model to know that. The Angels are playoff contenders and the Rangers aren't. They have the best hitter of this generation in Mike Trout and the most talented player of all time in Shohei Ohtani, yet they continue to finish below .500. This year, no one will sleep on the Mariners. Ultimately, this is a total rebuild and the organization isnt thinking about the final MLB standings in 2022. All Rights Reserved. The Padres are absolutely a fringe playoff contender in the NL, but I'm not seeing them on the cusp of 90 wins. KC Kansas City Royals. Losing Robbie Ray and Steven Matz will hurt the rotation, but the addition of Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi, along with a full season of Jose Berrios and Alek Manoah will help bolster the pitching staff. Across the division, the Twins had a perplexing winter. As for Oakland, it already traded Chris Bassitt, Matt Olson and Matt Chapman. Maybe this time I'm right and things have caught up with them. by Retrosheet. . But in this new season, expectations are once again high for them. MORE: The Sporting News' 2022 MLB Opening Day Power Rankings Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season from TSN's panel of baseball experts. Victor Robles still flashes big potential, but has yet to make everything click. I think Randal Grichuk will post huge power numbers there, too. MLB.com. The Jays were 91-71 last season and I believe they are better. The model indicates that in a World Series against the NL, which is loaded with teams that boast top-line pitching staffs, Tampa Bay's staff is more likely to hold up in a series. All rights reserved. The model expects some regression, but the pitching will keep this as one of the best teams in baseball. Close. Something is going to give there -- in terms of sending one team down to the mid-80s in wins, this time around -- and the Red Sox total is 85.5. However, the Yankees lineup could be without 60% of its production whenever it plays in Toronto. The versatile Max Muncy will hit anywhere he's playing, and Justin Turner has shown no signs of aging as he heads into his age 36 season. Only enabled for screen sizes > 1024px. Were using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. 5 starter. With Shane Baz, Yonny Chirinos and Tyler Glasnow out from possible rotation spots in addition to relievers Nick Anderson and Pete Fairbanks, that's a lot of slack that needs picking up. The winter meetings are quickly approaching and before you know it will be time for Spring Training. Chicago still finishes atop the AL Central in our MLB predictions, but the separation is decreasing. The team will also get another look at breakout star Jazz Chisholm in his second year of action. But the top two teams in the NL are the same as last year's: the Dodgers and Giants. Key player: Luis Robert. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. We do like the Sean Manaea addition, it solidifies one of the best rotations in baseball. Joey Gallo should improve without the shift, and Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Josh Donaldson make for three of the best right-handed power bats in the sport when healthy. Picks, tools and data that give you an edge in NFL survivor and knockout style pools. Printed from TeamRankings.com - 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is almost here and Sportsnaut's MLB predictions offer projections for the standings, award winners and more.. MLB games today will offer daily predictions and the full schedule for the entire season from 2022 Opening Day to the World Series. Brendan Rodgers and Ryan McMahon showed they can make a promising tandem fans of the franchise can build around. New York Mets. After adding closer Craig Kimbrel, the gap between Los Angeles and its NL West foes is even wider. I took the Rays' under (it was 86) last year and got badly burned. The two big prospects in the Trea Turner/Scherzer trade, Josiah Gray will slot into the rotation and Keibert Ruiz should become the everyday catcher. This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. Sign In. Last year, Casey Mize, Matt Manning and Tarik Skubal got a taste of the big leagues and showed promise, and will be expected to take it a step farther in 2022. Now that the season is over, the parade is done, and the dust has settled it is time to start looking at the 2022 season. For all the talk of Bichette and Guerrero Jr. being a dynamic infield presence, Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers also are a dangerous pair of bats from the left side of the infield. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. Rather astounding. By no means do I think the Rockies are good, nor will they come close to playoff contention. They will join Joe Musgrove, Yu Darvish and Blake Snell. However, this is still a loaded team. However, its outfield will be problematic and the starting rotation is even worse. There is going to be some competition in Texas soon enough for the AL West crown. It makes them the team to beat in the NL Central, especially if Christian Yelich rebounds and Kolten Wong stays healthy. If it's the 2022-23 Premier League table you're after, you've come to the right place. while Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez bring the kind of veteran bats any team needs when it wants to make a leap in the . AL EAST. Weak offense. The offense added Starling Marte and Mark Canha to a lineup that was already strong with Francisco Lindor, Jeff McNeil and Pete Alonso in the infield and Brandon Nimmo in the outfield. There are two MVP candidates in the lineup and the Trevor Story signing creates one of the best infield in MLB. section: | slug: mlb-win-totals-each-teams-2022-projection-plus-best-bets-on-over-unders-for-dodgers-cardinals-more | sport: baseball | route: article_single.us | And with Michael Kopech and Liam Hendriks at the backend of the bullpen, they could be a real weapon to end games in the playoffs. With the exception of a 107-win season from the Giants in 2021, the Dodgers have owned the NL West for the past decade. My hunch this year is they'll be less extreme and steadily work toward somewhere in the low-to-mid 80s in wins. Back # WL Div GB # AL WL Pct GB # WL Div GB # Maybe it's a case where I just didn't learn my lesson. Bostons bullpen isnt among the best in the American League and its starting rotation lacks quality depth, especially with Chris Sale on IL. 15 seasons. SEA . Witt Jr. could be the future face of MLB and Melendezs bat is convincing Kansas City to give the catching prospect a shot at other positions. The predicted standings for each team are the average wins and losses in the 20,000 simulations. The Philadelphia Phillies committed to spending money this offseason, improving the lineup with Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos. Theres no question the Padres have the talent to win the NL West, even a World Series title is possible. The front end of the rotation offers some star arms in Nathan Eovaldi, Chris Sale and Tanner Houck, who can match up with many of the best in the AL. It's always possible Aaron Nola gets back to ace level and Ranger Surez has all kinds of talent, possibly giving the Phillies a Big Three. 6-keys: media/spln/mlb/reg/free/stories, at MLB Baseball Standings Projections on TeamRankings.com. As far as my place in all this, feel free to jump over to my SportsLine page to see my picking acumen from last season. PECOTA views the Bronx Bombers as heavy favorites in the AL East, with Toronto projected for roughly nine fewer wins. It bucks conventional wisdom, sure, but there are a few factors I can't ignore. And yet, they won 90 games last season and I'm going under 84.5 this year. This is not expected to be the year that the Oriolesmake a surprising surge to the playoffs and shock the baseball world, but it feels like that time is at least getting closer. The production this season will help set the stage for the next competitive Nationals' team. Until those issues are addressed, even a .500 record feels unlikely. Jose Altuve continues to hit, and the cast around around him continues to get younger. Whenthe Padresmade the playoffs in the abbreviated 2020 season, many expected they'd take that next step in 2021 and be a true World Series contender. Drew Rasmussen threw 76 innings last year. We should also mention the Phillies, who went further than both the Mets and Braves in the 2022 postseason before losing to the Astros in the World Series. AL Central predictions. The model narrowly projects there to be three teams in the NL East reach the playoffs, with the Mets and Phillies earning wild cards to join the division-winning Padres. There is some volatility in our projections for theBraves, who look like the favorite to win the NL East but finish as low as third place in the division standings. MLB predictions for the AL East are the most fun, theyll even vary on a weekly basis. Projected AL East Standings: 1. They also signed Jon Gray, who could be due for a breakout season now that he's no longer pitching in Coors Field. Adley Rutschman and Grayson Rodriguez aren't far away from reaching the majors, and bats like Cedric Mullins, Trey Mancini and Ryan Mountcastle have already proven they can mash in the big leagues. Cleveland might be trending the wrong direction compared to most teams, but finishing last still feels like a bit of a stretch. Our MLB projections will impact our projected postseason bracket. Someone is going to have to take the crown away fromthe Astrosbefore anyone, even the model, would consider picking against them. There was a point in the 2021 season when it felt the Mets were going to run away with the division. The Blue Jays were widely considered to be one of the AL favorites to reach the World Series entering 2022, but they ended up finishing seven games behind the Yankees in the AL East and were swept by the Mariners in the AL Wild Card Series. The Marinerswere the feel-good story of 2021, when out of nowhere, they rose up to post a 90-win season and nearly reach the postseason. 1:51. The 2022 MLB season is finally here. Jarred Kelenic still needs to make a lot of strides. Torontos moves this offseason inspire confidence Canada might host a World Series game. The Braves, on the other hand, werent a major player in free agency. Bob Melvin is the perfect skipper for the clubhouse, providing both strong in-game management and a leader who can help keep a lot of personalities in sync. The . The Orioleshope to see top prospect Adley Rutschman soon (but not too soon) and are going to lose 100 games again but have players worth watching inCedric Mullins andRyan Mountcastle. Milwaukee finished with a DEF of 56, which was eight more runs than the next best team. The reason for the model's lack of trust in them in 2022? Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Duke vs. UNC odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. After these rivals, located just 7 miles apart, met in the . We also like the depth pieces added to the staff (Carlos Martinez, Matt Boyd) and it will prove crucial this year. Here are the way too early MLB 2022 standings predictions for the American League. Matt Chapman is one of the best defensive players in the game and his bat should look better with the talent around it. Trained by Michael McCarthy, Lugan Knight has two wins, one second and . With Chris Bassitt, Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer lined up . Major League Leaders . Last year, the division placed three teams in the playoffs the most of any division in baseball and it expects to be right back in that same position next year. It does not expect full seasons out of both Trout and Ohtani, who have not in their four years together each had seasons where they both appeared in at least 120 games. The Post's Joel Sherman predicts the AL Central: 1. The Red Soxsurprised some people with their run to the ALCS in 2021, and Boston expects to be back in the mix for the playoffs again in 2022. Carter Kieboom has been hyped for some time, and will finally be given a full opportunity once he returns from his forearm injury. 2 starter acquired before being more optimistic with our MLB predictions. They've lost key names over the past several years from George Springer to Justin Verlander (for a season due to injury) and now, most recently, Correa. Andrew Benintendi showed some bounceback potential in 2021, and Adalberto Mondesi still looks explosive when healthy. Look, I know they do some sort of sorcery there, but the pitching depth is depleted and that's a rough division. Factoring in that advantage along with an electrifying Cardinals bullpen, elite defense and a sufficient lineup, we expect St. Louis in a Wild Card Game. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. They've got a good young rotation led by Sandy Alcantara and are going to causeheadaches for the division's presumed contenders Juan Soto Extension Watch is going to be 2022's dominant storyline for the Nationals, who did sign 41-year-old DH Nelson Cruz. With the last few days of build up comes all kinds of predictions, picks, best bets and the like. After the NL East race came down to the wire in 2022, with the Braves edging the Mets via tiebreaker after both won 101 games, the two teams had drastically different offseasons. Putting the Houston Astros atop the AL West in our MLB predictions today was easy. Even after Gausman walked in free agency, San Francisco still returns Logan Webb, who is coming off a fantastic postseason, and bring back Anthony DeSclafani and Alex Wood. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening Day. AL East This is undoubtedly the toughest division in baseball. Christian Yelich can only get better after . This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and . They'll be one of the best home teams in baseball this year. I was going to be choosing between the Red Sox and Rays and the Rays' number is four higher, so here we are. The Atlanta Braves surprised everyone by winning the World Series. The Rockies don't figure to be in the mix for the playoffs in 2022, but that lineup could be fun to watch. 2022-23 English Premier League Arsenal vs. Bournemouth odds, picks: Predictions and best bets for Saturday's match from proven soccer expert . Coming off an 81-81 campaign, San Francisco had an offseason that can best be described as OK. The Giants had grand designs to add a superstar, but they came up short in the Judge sweepstakes and walked away from a deal with Carlos Correa, reportedly due to concerns about his physical. Cody Bellinger returns to All-Star form. Get Paramount Plus today and watch live sports for an unbeatable price! We like the Zack Greinke return and have optimism for the Royals future, but 2022 wont be great. Corbin Burnes won the Cy Young with a sterling 2.43 ERA, and he was joined in the sub-3.00 ERA club by Brandon Woodruff (2.56) and Freddy Peralta (2.81). See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. In fact, they lost their top free agent, shortstop Dansby Swanson, to the Cubs. Throw in a few more guys like Gunnar Henderson and DL Hall, and this team could be fun to watch in a few years. Again, I don't think they'll be good, overall, but I have a buffer of 92 losses here, as 70-92 gets the job done. Instead, the model likes the chances ofthe Cardinalsto win the NL Central. The Tigersare in a position where it feels like they are on the verge of putting it all together at the big-league level. There has been a lot going on in the AL West since the 2021 season came to an end, and the model expects the standings to turn out about as one might expect. TeamRankings.com is not affiliated with the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) or March Madness Athletic Association, neither of which has supplied, reviewed, approved or endorsed the material on this site. The Cubsare engaging in a rebuild/reload to try and keep the team competition, while also building up its young core again. Pair that with a strong bullpen and a productive lineup. The model isn't as bullish on San Diego as others due to concerns over Tatis' ability to play a full season and the depth in the lineup, but it's easy to see this being the magical year for which many have been waiting. Bellinger is coming off of a dreadful 2021 campaign that saw . Atlanta can erase some of our concerns by acquiring Matt Olson. MLB, NBA, CBB, GOLF, NHL, HORSE RACING AND MORE - PLUS ADVANCED COMPUTER SIMULATIONS, WINNING . 5 min read. The Sporting News is unveiling a model to project the 2022 MLB season and make predictions based on the results. No one saw the San Francisco Giants being that good last season, they surpassed their wildest expectations. How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. Meanwhile, ZiPS not only projects the Cards to win a second straight NL Central title but also gives St. Louis the largest margin of victory (seven games) of any of the projected division champions. Signing Seiya Suzuki, one of Japan's biggest sluggers over the past six seasons, is a big addition as he'll likely slot right into the middle of the lineup. While the signing of Carlos Correa and the trade for Sonny Gray will help, the rest of the team has a lot of question marks, particularly after Berrios was traded midseason last year and Donaldson was traded in the offseason. As for the Cubs, neither system likes their postseason chances despite the signings of Swanson, Cody Bellinger, Jameson Taillon, Trey Mancini and Eric Hosmer. The Duke Blue Devils (22-8, 13-6 ACC) finish the season against the North Carolina Tar Heels (19-11, 11-8) Saturday in Chapel Hill. This should be very difficult, as every team -- at least in theory -- should have a total right around where it is expected to finish. Edwin Diaz was a dominant closer in 2021, and figures again to be among the best relievers in 2022. The slugging corner infielders of Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado make up a powerful middle-of-the-order tandem, and Tommy Edman should help at the top of the lineup. Tip from Dean E. Smith Center is at 6:30 p.m. Theyll be better than the Pittsburgh Pirates, but at least we can say we like the outlook for Pittsburghs future. First off, the Dodgers are the best team. The rotation remains the bright spot with Shane Bieber leading a staff that featured a breakout season from Cal Quantrill and solid campaigns from Triston McKenzie, Zach Plesac and Aaron Civale. Below, we look at those 2022 World Series odds; be sure to check back for our MLB picks and predictions as the season ramps up. Acquiring Sonny Gray improves the rotation, but it could still use a front-line starter.